Current Rule 1 Worthy Scan Results

[Magg1e]

I'd like to start a new thread for anyone with interesting , Rule #1 worthy scan results. I know most of us are using the great scanners on MSN , and I've recently started using the scanners on Prophet.net - which are awesome - but still take alot of work afterwards.

I am putting my results thru one further step - comparing them to the indices for the last 2 months, 6 months , 2 years and 5 years. So I am looking for those Rule #1 stocks that have outperformed the markets - and WE HOPE will continue to outperform the markets. I want to be ready when they pop with 1-1-1. a perfect 1-1-1- is really hard to find - they don't show up every day - and to find Rule #1 worthy 1-1-1 's takes a lot of work . But we've got the technology ( thanks MOS Machine Team ) and we've got the framework ( thanks Phil ) . We just gotta do the digging !

this will be a homework list only - I love looking at the charts . I like digging into the fundies a little less. so for anyone who wants to critique the fundies on thse - feel free !

today I am looking for those stocks that are showing good movement - in spite of the fact that the $VIX has increased from 9.90 - 10.13 - a 2.32 % move - huge for the $ VIX. I am STUDYING today - looking for stocks for when the $VIX stops trying to convince us that the mkt is heading down .

Hopefully we can populate the Watch Lists with plenty of 3 G potential !

[Magg1e]

Today's MSN Rule # 1 Scan with Institutional Increase

tck - possible ; EPS falling a bit
col - nope
vsea- overpriced
zigo- not enough growth
abx - doesn't pass Rule #1 check
ezem - strike out
trp - also NG / no go

so = total strike out so far on fundies alone

[joe.schmoe]

You go, girl! Looking forward to working on this.

Tim

[Magg1e]

have done several more on Prophet Scan - not coming up with any winners today . I'm still scanning - still combing thru lists - not finding winners that meet our criteria

S&P 5 star with positive MACD histogram today -

IACI - beautiful chart , beats the mkt - but not Rule 1 worthy

Exchanges: NYSE
Last Price is at least 15.00
Average Volume is at least 50,000 shares
S&P Star Rating is between 5 and 5 5-Year Growth % is at least 75
MACD Histogram is positive

CAL - this is a 5 star ??- UGH !
ELX - possible ; good chart - beats the mkt
ET- deserves more study - beats the mkt
MU - a 5 star ??? what are they drinking over there ???
PRU - pretty spotty
RHI - even massaging the #s - still low
SFY - not even close
TRN - EPS - no , sales no
TXN - overpriced and doesn't beat the mkt
WSH - overpriced and does not beat the mkt


2 possibles deserving of more study :

ELX
ET

[hitone395]

How about D.R. Horton (DHI). Homebuilders-3 greens last week. Fundamentally pretty sound. If you eliminate last yrs. EPS, they have increased every year. BVPS went up, Sales went up, PE is really low-sells about 6-7x's eps rate.
Build modestly priced homes starting about 90 grand. Family owned and very employee friendly. Stock tumble about 45-50% during housing bust but #'s really don't reflect that--at least what I can see.
I don't know if that is what you are looking for or not.

[Magg1e]

I think it's the best one I've seen all day


5 year - beats the mkt
2 year - beats the mkt
3 months - beats the mkt
1 month - beats the mkt


we have a winner - this one deserves to be watched !:wink:

[Magg1e]

once again , TA reveals the big boys tracks:

CNBC: Gates Foundations buying housing stocks like DHI and HOV

Gates Foundation = Warren Buffet ??

[Gunnski]

Happy Thanksgiving to everyone. Thanks for all of your help and guidance on the board!

I ran a R-1 Power Scan on MSN. I printed out 150 of the best. Here are some ideas.

ESI: Great business needs a deep breath. Its on my Watch List.

GGG: Beautiful chart. Just went 3G's. Not a R-1 for me at this time.

HANS: Strong-close watch on my list. Nice business. Just went 3-G's with a
10DMA. I have MOS at $7.48, 20% Growth, P/E 14.37.

UPL: I really like this. MOS $84.55. Current $50.98. 2 G's with 10DMA, 1 G w/ 30DMA. It looks like the big kids are getting in. Yes, problems with ESP & Cash Flow. Needs some research.

[Lois]

ELX numbers on investools:
Last 4 Qtrs Rating 5-Year Avg 10-Year Avg
ROIC 10.00% -8.00% -9.70%
Book Value per Share 13.64% -19.25% 1.87%
EPS Growth -41.80% -190.98% -171.31%
Sales Growth 7.20% 10.66% 23.99%
Free Cash Flow -3.28% 14.82% 20.88%
Gross Profit Margin 59.00% 59.00% 50.30%
Net Profit Margin 10.00% -26.80% -12.90%
ROE 7.00% -23.60% -17.60%
Current Ratio 2.34 8.34 6.87
Quick Ratio 2.26 8.01 6.30
Net Debt/Total Cap 0.00% 26.00% 13.00%
Debt/Equity 42.20% 57.92% 28.96%

ET numbers:
Last 4 Qtrs Rating 5-Year Avg 10-Year Avg
ROIC 1.00% 0.60% 0.40%
Book Value per Share 26.83% 5.11% 18.26%
EPS Growth 26.10% 195.80% 840.16%
Sales Growth 24.90% 57.30% 71.55%
Free Cash Flow -82.08% 24.26% 31.70%
Gross Profit Margin 38.00% 35.20% 39.30%
Net Profit Margin 17.00% 5.00% 2.90%
ROE 13.00% 2.80% 1.90%
Current Ratio --- 0.00 0.00
Quick Ratio --- 0.00 0.00
Net Debt/Total Cap -2.00% -1.40% -1.10%
Debt/Equity 47.60% 21.22% 11.03%

DHI numbers:
Last 4 Qtrs Rating 5-Year Avg 10-Year Avg
ROIC 11.00% 8.40% 7.00%
Book Value per Share 25.73% 24.04% 21.11%
EPS Growth 49.80% 40.84% 36.40%
Sales Growth 27.90% 30.94% 29.09%
Free Cash Flow 33.52% 22.18% 18.45%
Gross Profit Margin 27.00% 22.80% 20.90%
Net Profit Margin 11.00% 7.80% 6.10%
ROE 27.00% 22.40% 21.00%
Current Ratio --- 0.00 0.00
Quick Ratio --- 0.00 0.00
Net Debt/Total Cap 19.00% 30.80% 18.30%
Debt/Equity 100.00% 101.24% 76.90%

[Gunnski]

I took a quick look at ELX & ET. Wow, I am probably wrong but I would not even consider them R-1 businesses ...at least right now. Just on ROIC & Equity numbers I would move on. The chart on ELX appears to indicate it is over bought right now. It needs to take a break.

I cannot see our tools being that far off. But, when ever I see a negative ROIC I move to the next business.

Any input will be greatly apprecaited.