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| Technical Analysis Moving Averages, MACD, Stochastic, RSI, Volume - All Topics on Technical Analysis |
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Trendlines
Well I've been doing much research and have learned that trendlines are the building blocks of technical analysis. I'm currently formulating a strategy that will trade growth stocks (preferably undervalued) according to trendlines.
What I've gathered so far is that you want to have a long-term trendline (4 years) a mid-term (1-2 years) and short term (3-6 months). Find the support and resistance and trade on big breakouts with support from volume. I was at first nervous that I wasn't going to be able to afford the expensive software that allows you to easily draw trendlines with current and historical information (eSignal for example) - but then I realized that my broker, think or swim, has incredible software that does this for me! So I guess I'm just writing to see if anybody has any experience or thoughts on this type of analysis. Here's the basic strategy: When a stock's price breaks above a resistance trendline you've drawn with a big volume bump - buy. Depending on overall market conditions set a 5-10% trailing stop and ride it out. From what I understand you will have more losers than winners, but the winners will be big, and the losers will have been stopped out with a small loss. Thoughts? |
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Re: Trendlines
Tom,
When you get your breakout. I suggest a confirmation, with volume, before you jump in. What I mean is a confirmation up candle the following day. Just to make sure it is a true breakout. I like your ideas alot! I use an ascending triangle breakout as one of my favorite patterns. I can run some really neat filters on StockFetcher.com. They are weighted more towards tech. than fundamental analysis. There are some really smart, helpful people on their fourms! it only $8.00 a month. There are other price plans, but for $8.00, I highly suggest giving it a try. You can cancel at anytime. Example. I have every ETF in a watch list. I can run a scan (ascending tri., decending tri., EMA50 & EMA13 crossover, cross above MA(150) etc. against every ETF. I can sort by % change change, volume, etc. and the chart (set up with my pre-definded setups) are right there on the screen. It is really neat and fast. I can check out hundreds of charts in no time. The sky is the limit on the filters. There are hundreds of pre-definded filters all ready set up in the libaray. StockFetcher.com - Stock Screening |